Olivia Chow back ahead in mayoral race: poll
Olivia Chow is shown in this file photo. (The Canadian Press/Paul Daly)
Chris Fox, CP24.com
Published Wednesday, April 16, 2014 9:53AM EDT
Olivia Chow has reopened her lead over Mayor Rob Ford with the municipal election now a little more than six months away, a new poll from Forum Research has found.
The telephone poll of 882 randomly selected Torontonians found that 34 per cent of respondents would vote for Chow if the election were held today compared to 27 per cent for Ford and 24 per cent for John Tory. Coun. Karen Stintz (6 per cent) and former budget chief David Soknacki (4 per cent) rounded out the top five.
The results represent a gain for Chow, who was in a statistical tie with Ford after a similar poll on March 27.
“The campaign has been running in earnest for a couple of weeks now, and things have settled into the rhythm they will probably maintain for the next month or so,” Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff said in a press release accompanying the poll. “Unless a major surprise occurs, or a leading candidate exits the race early, we're probably seeing the race as it will stay for a while; Chow leading, and Ford and Tory duking it out for second.”
While Chow was the clear winner, the poll also found that the former NDP MP may have a harder time adding to her support than some of the other candidates, with 25 per cent of respondents saying they would not vote for her under any condition. Conversely, less than three per cent of respondents said they would never vote for Tory or Soknacki and only seven per cent said they wouldn’t vote for Stintz. Ford was the most polarizing candidate with 49 per cent of respondents saying they would never vote for him.
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