John Tory continues to have a comfortable lead in the mayoral race, especially among those most likely to vote, a new poll has found.

The Ipsos-Reid poll of 1,201 Toronto residents has determined that Tory has the support of 42 per cent of decided voters compared to 31 per cent for Doug Ford and 25 per cent for Olivia Chow. About 13 per cent of respondents said they remain undecided. Overall, Tory was down six points from the last Ipsos-Reid poll in September while Ford was up five points.

The slight gain was the only good news for Ford, though.

The poll also found that Tory’s supporters are the most motivated to cast their ballots with 73.7 per cent of them saying only an “unforeseen emergency” would keep them from the polls. That is compared to the 54.7 per cent of Chow supporters and 49 per cent of Ford supporters that said the same.

Tory was also strong in the so-called heart of “Ford Nation” in Etobicoke where he had the support of 39 per cent of respondents compared to 38 per cent for Ford.

Meanwhile, in downtown Tory enjoyed a substantial lead with the support of 47 per cent of respondents compared to 35 per cent for Chow and 16 per cent for Ford.

Ford’s support was strongest in Scarborough where 41 per cent said they intended to vote for him, however Tory only trailed by two points in the east-end neighbourhood.

Tory also led in North York (41 per cent) and in East York (40 per cent).

“Key to John Tory’s overall level of support is that he’s competitive in every region of the city, ostensibly becoming the consensus candidate that can bridge the gap between the downtown/suburban divide,” Ipsos-Reid wrote in an analysis accompanying the poll.

The poll, which is considered accurate to within 3.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, is the second to be released today.

Tory has six-point lead in Mainstreet Technologies poll

Another poll released by Mainstreet Technologies Friday morning found that 38 per cent of respondents support Tory while 32 per cent support Ford and 20 per cent support Chow.

The spread between Tory and Ford, however, widened to 14 points among those who said they are certain to vote

The poll’s margin of error was plus or minus 1.64 percentage points.

“It’s Tory’s lead among those likeliest to vote that will deliver him a win on Monday, Doug Ford’s campaign has resonated but not with the Torontonians his campaign needs,” Mainstreet Technologies President Quito Maggi said in a news release accompanying the poll.

Mainstreet Technologies said the poll of 3,569 residents was the largest survey done so far in the Toronto election, allowing them some insight into where in the city the candidates enjoy the most support.

Chow, who has consistently been projected to come in third place come election day, had the most support in the downtown core where she has served as councillor and MP. But it’s still not enough. In this part of the city, Chow was the second choice among decided voters with 33 per cent support, behind Tory who has 48 per cent support. Ford was the least popular candidate with 15 per cent support.

However, Doug Ford is the number one choice for mayor among decided voters in Etobicoke and Scarborough. He also leads the pack in North York but by only one per cent.

These parts of town are where most of the people who say they support Ford are not likely to go out and cast a vote on Oct. 27, the survey found.

For example, in North York where Tory and Ford are in a statistical tie, only 32 per cent of those who say they are “certain” to vote will cast a ballot for Ford compared to 44 per cent for Tory. Of those “likely” to vote, 59 per cent say they will vote for Ford compared to 23 per cent for Tory. For those who say they “might” vote, 50 per cent said they will vote for Ford and 34 per cent said they are undecided. Ford has the support of 44 per cent of those who said they are “unlikely” to vote.

“Doug Ford has grown his support around the city but with those Torontonians least likely to vote – Mr. Tory’s still commands a double digit lead among those who have voted or who are certain to vote,” Maggi said.

Remember for instant breaking news follow @cp24 on Twitter.